Proactive Approach to Innovation Management

Authors: Andrus Pedai, Igor Astrov

Abstract:

The focus of this paper is to compare common approaches for Systems of Innovation (SI) and identify proactive alternatives for driving the innovation. Proactive approaches will also consider short and medium term perspectives with developments in the field of Computer Technology and Artificial Intelligence. Concerning Computer Technology and Large Connected Information Systems, it is reasonable to predict that during current or the next century intelligence and innovation will be separated from the constraints of human driven management. After this happens, humans will be no longer driving the innovation and there is possibility that SI for new intelligent systems will set its own targets and exclude humans. Over long time scale these developments could result in scenario, which will lead to the development of larger, cross galactic (universal) proactive SI and Intelligence.

Keywords: Artificial intelligence, DARPA, Moore’s law, proactive innovation, singularity, systems of innovation.

Digital Object Identifier (DOI): doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1093930

References:

[1] The Knowledge-Based Economy and the Triple Helix Model. (Online). Available: http://www.leydesdorff.net/arist09/
[2] Measuring and Modelling Innovation. (Online). Available: http://heimeriks.net/ teaching-and-research-interests/measuring-and-modelling-innovation/
[3] C. Marxt and C Brunner, "Analyzing and Improving the National Innovation System of Highly Developed Countries — The Case of Switzerland,” Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol. 80, pp. 1035–1039, July 2013.
[4] Technological Innovation System. (Online). Available: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_innovation_system
[5] Strategies for Regional Information Systems: Learning Transfer and Applications. (Online). Available: http ://www.unido.org/fileadmin/ user_media/Publications/Pub_free/Strategies_for_regional_innovation_systems.pdf
[6] S. Ulam, "Tribute to John von Neumann,” Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society, vol. 64, no. 3, pp. 1–49, May 1958.
[7] Superintelligence. Answer to the 2009 Edge Question: "What will Change Everything?” (Online). Available: http://www.nickbostrom.com/views/superintelligence.pdf
[8] R. Kurzweil, The Singularity is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology. New York: Penguin Books, 2006.
[9] Moore's Law. (Online). Available: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ Moore's_law
[10] 8 Spectacularly Wrong Predictions about Computers & the Internet. (Online). Available: http://www.makeuseof.com/tag/8-spectacularly-wrong-predictions-computers-internet/
[11] M. Kaku, Physics of the Future: How Science will Shape Human Destiny and our Daily Lives by the Year 2100. New York: Doubleday, 2011.
[12] Pigs in Cyberspace. (Online). Available: http://old.cni.org/ pub/lita/think/Moravec.html
[13] DARPA and the Internet Revolution. (Online). Available: http://www.darpa.mil/WorkArea/DownloadAsset.aspx?id=2554
[14] Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency. (Online). Available: http://www.darpa.mil/default.aspx
[15] The Value of Vision in Radical Technological Innovation. (Online). Available: http://purl.stanford.edu/mk388mb2729
[16] Flight Failure won't Stop 'Mad Scientists'. (Online). Available: http://edition.cnn.com/2011/OPINION/08/15/belfiore.hypersonic. flig ht/
[17] P. W. Singer, Wired for War: The Robotics Revolution and Conflict in the 21st Century. London: Penguin Books, 2009.