Planning of Road Infrastructure Financing: Computational Finance Viewpoint
Commenced in January 2007
Frequency: Monthly
Edition: International
Paper Count: 32807
Planning of Road Infrastructure Financing: Computational Finance Viewpoint

Authors: Ornst J., Voracek J., Allouache A., Allouache D.

Abstract:

Lack of resources for road infrastructure financing is a problem that currently affects not only eastern European economies but also many other countries especially in relation to the impact of global financial crisis. In this context, we are talking about the socalled short-investment problem as a result of long-term lack of investment resources. Based on an analysis of road infrastructure financing in the Czech Republic this article points out at weaknesses of current system and proposes a long-term planning methodology supported by system approach. Within this methodology and using created system dynamic model the article predicts the development of short-investment problem in the Country and in reaction on the downward trend of certain sources the article presents various scenarios resulting from the change of the structure of financial sources. In the discussion the article focuses more closely on the possibility of introduction of tax on vehicles instead of taxes with declining revenue streams and estimates its approximate price in relation to reaching various solutions of short-investment in time.

Keywords: Road financing, road infrastructure development, system dynamics

Digital Object Identifier (DOI): doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1334441

Procedia APA BibTeX Chicago EndNote Harvard JSON MLA RIS XML ISO 690 PDF Downloads 1353

References:


[1] Leleur, S., Systemic Planning: Principles and Methodology for Planning in a Complex World, Published by Polyteknisk, Second Edition, ISBN 978-87-502-1004-7, 2008
[2] Jensen A.V., Leleur S., Scenario analysis (SCA) from the Centre for Logistics and Goods (CLG) study of evaluation techniques, Denmark: Centre for Logistics and Goods, 2004
[3] Xue, L., Zhao, D., Liu, G., "Stochastic simulation of bus traveling time", Advanced Materials Research, vol. 186, pp. 556-559, 2011
[4] Leleur, S., Petersen, N. B. & Barfod, M. B., "The COSIMA Approach to Transport Decision Making: Combining Cost-benefit and Multi-criteria Analysis for Comprehensive Project Appraisal", Conference paper presented at the Korean Development Institute World Bank Conference, Seoul, May 2007.
[5] Vaidya, O. S., Kumar, S., "Analytical Hierarchy Process: An overview of applications", European Journal of Operational Research, vol. 169, pp. 1-29, 2006
[6] Lenferink, S., T. Tillema, J. Arts, The potential of a life-cycle approach for improving road infrastructure planning in the Netherlands, Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk, Santpoort, Netherlands, 2008
[7] Lakshmanan, T.R., "The broader economic consequences of transport infrastructure investments", Journal of Transport Geography, vol. 19, pp. 1-12, 2011
[8] Hong, J., Chu, Z., Wang, Q., "Transport infrastructure and regional economic growth: evidence from China", Article in press: Transportation, ISSN: 00494488, 2011
[9] Ietto-Gillies, G., "The current economic crisis and international business. Can we say anything meaningful about future scenarios?", Futures, vol. 42, no. 9, pp. 910-919, 2010
[10] He Y., Liu M., "System dynamics analysis on the regional transport infrastructure and social economic development", Proceedings of International Conference on Transportation Engineering 2007, pp. 642-648, 2007
[11] Fu M.," Port and economy relationship analysis by system dynamics", ICTE 2011 - Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Transportation Engineering, pp. 162-167, 2011
[12] Diaz S., Quintero E., Hernandez H., Jenkins O., "Analysis of the Orinoco Oil Belt development through a dynamic simulation model", SPE Latin American and Caribbean Petroleum Engineering Conference Proceedings, vol. 1, pp. 535-547, 2010