Determination of Severe Loading Condition at Critical System Cascading Collapse Considering the Effect of Protection System Hidden Failure

Authors: N. A. Salim, M. M. Othman, I. Musirin, M. S. Serwan

Abstract:

Hidden failure in a protection system has been recognized as one of the main reasons which may cause to a power system instability leading to a system cascading collapse. This paper presents a computationally systematic approach used to obtain the estimated average probability of a system cascading collapse by considering the effect of probability hidden failure in a protection system. The estimated average probability of a system cascading collapse is then used to determine the severe loading condition contributing to the higher risk of critical system cascading collapse. This information is essential to the system utility since it will assist the operator to determine the highest point of increased system loading condition prior to the event of critical system cascading collapse.

Keywords: Critical system cascading collapse, protection system hidden failure, severe loading condition.

Digital Object Identifier (DOI): doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1076622

References:

[1] Q. Qiu, "Risk Assessment of Power System Catastrophic Failures and Hidden Failure Monitoring & Control System," Doctor In Philosophy, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, 2003.
[2] Thomas L. Baldwin, Magdy S. Tawfik, and M. Mcqueen, "Contingency Analysis of Cascading Line Outage Events," in Power Systems Conference 2011, Pp. 1-8.
[3] T. Jingzhe, G. Deqiang, X. Huanhai, and W. Zhen, "Cascading Failure and Blackout Risk Analysis of AC/DC Power System - The Impact of AC/DC Interconnection Mode and Capacity Distribution," in 2012 Asia- Pacific Power and Energy Engineering Conference (APPEEC), 2012, Pp. 1-5.
[4] H. Pidd. (2012). India Blackouts Leave 700 Million Without Power. Available: http://Www.Guardian.Co.Uk/World/2012/Jul/31/India- Blackout-Electricity-Power-Cuts
[5] M. Vaiman, K. Bell, Y. Chen, B. Chowdhury, I. Dobson, P. Hines, M. Papic, S. Miller, and P. Zhang, "Risk Assessment of Cascading Outages: Methodologies and Challenges," IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Vol. 27, Pp. 631-641, 2012.
[6] J. M. Ian Dobson, Chen-Ching Liu, "Fast Simulation, Monitoring and Mitigation of Cascading Failure," Power Systems Engineering Research Center2010.
[7] K. Yamashita, L. Juan, Z. Pei, and L. Chen-Ching, "Analysis and Control of Major Blackout Events," In IEEE/PES Power Systems Conference And Exposition, 2009. Psce '09. , 2009, Pp. 1-4.
[8] K. Janghoon and I. Dobson, "Propagation of Load Shed in Cascading Line Outages Simulated By OPA," in Complexity in Engineering, 2010. COMPENG '10., 2010, Pp. 1-6.
[9] I. Dobson, "Estimating The Propagation and Extent of Cascading Line Outages From Utility Data With a Branching Process," IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Vol. 27, Pp. 2146-2155, 2012.
[10] I. Dobson, B. A. Carreras, and D. E. Newman, "Branching Process Models for the Exponentially Increasing Portions of Cascading Failure Blackouts," in Proceedings of the 38th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, 2005. HICSS '05., 2005, Pp. 64a-64a.
[11] I. Dobson, B. A. Carreras, and D. E. Newman, "A Branching Process Approximation to Cascading Load-Dependent System Failure," in Proceedings of the 37th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, 2004., 2004, P. 10 Pp.
[12] I.Dobson;, B.A.Carreras;, V.E.Lynch;, and D.E.Newman, "Complex Systems Analysis of Series Of Blackouts: Cascading Failure, Critical Points, and Self-Organization," in Bulk Power System Dynamics and Control - Vi, 2007, Pp. 438-451.
[13] A. Chegu, L. Fangxing, and X. Xiaokang, "An Overview of the Analysis of Cascading Failures and High-Order Contingency Events," in 2010 Asia-Pacific Power And Energy Engineering Conference (APPEEC), 2010, Pp. 1-5.
[14] R. Pfitzner, K. Turitsyn, and M. Chertkov, "Statistical Classification of Cascading Failures in Power Grids," in 2011 IEEE Power And Energy Society General Meeting,, 2011, Pp. 1-8.
[15] K. Bae and J. S. Thorp, "A Stochastic Study of Hidden Failures in Power System Protection," Decision Support Systems, Vol. 24, Pp. 259- 268, 1999.
[16] L. D. Longyue Zhang, Xianyong Xiao, Chao Ma, Jing Feng, "Risk Assessment Of Power System Cascading Failure Considering Hidden Failures and Violation of Temperature," Advanced Materials Research, Vol. 354 - 355, Pp. 1083-1087, 2012.
[17] Nur Ashida Salim, Muhammad Murtadha Othman, Ismail Musirin, and M. S. Serwan, "Risk Assessment of Cascading Collapse Considering The Effect of Hidden Failure," In 2012 IEEE International Conference on Power and Energy, Kota Kinabalu, Sabah, Malaysia, 2012, Pp. 772- 777.
[18] Z. Jingjing and D. Ming, "Summary of Research on Hidden Failures in Protection Systems," in International Conference on Electrical Machines and Systems, 2008. ICEMS 2008. , 2008, Pp. 870-872.
[19] N. A. Salim, M. M. Othman, I. Musirin, and M. S. Serwan, "Cascading Collapse Assessment Considering Hidden Failure," in 2011 First International Conference on Informatics and Computational Intelligence (ICI), 2011, Pp. 318-323.
[20] W. Sing-Po, A. Chen, L. Chih-Wen, C. Chun-Hung, and J. Shortle, "Rare-Event Splitting Simulation for Analysis of Power System Blackouts," in 2011 IEEE Power And Energy Society General Meeting, 2011, Pp. 1-7.
[21] C. Grigg, P. Wong, P. Albrecht, R. Allan, M. Bhavaraju, R. Billinton, Q. Chen, C. Fong, S. Haddad, S. Kuruganty, W. Li, R. Mukerji, D. Patton, N. Rau, D. Reppen, A. Schneider, M. Shahidehpour, and C. Singh, "The IEEE Reliability Test System-1996. A Report Prepared By The Reliability Test System Task Force of the Application of Probability Methods Subcommittee," IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Vol. 14, Pp. 1010-1020, 1999.