Classification of Earthquake Distribution in the Banda Sea Collision Zone with Point Process Approach
Commenced in January 2007
Frequency: Monthly
Edition: International
Paper Count: 33093
Classification of Earthquake Distribution in the Banda Sea Collision Zone with Point Process Approach

Authors: Henry J. Wattimanela, Udjianna S. Pasaribu, Nanang T. Puspito, Sapto W. Indratno

Abstract:

Banda Sea Collision Zone (BSCZ) is the result of the interaction and convergence of Indo-Australian plate, Eurasian plate and Pacific plate. This location is located in eastern Indonesia. This zone has a very high seismic activity. In this research, we will calculate the rate (λ) and Mean Square Error (MSE). By this result, we will classification earthquakes distribution in the BSCZ with the point process approach. Chi-square is used to determine the type of earthquakes distribution in the sub region of BSCZ. The data used in this research is data of earthquakes with a magnitude ≥ 6 SR for the period 1964-2013 and sourced from BMKG Jakarta. This research is expected to contribute to the Moluccas Province and surrounding local governments in performing spatial plan document related to disaster management.

Keywords: Banda sea collision zone, earthquakes, mean square error, Poisson distribution, chi-square test.

Digital Object Identifier (DOI): doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1110812

Procedia APA BibTeX Chicago EndNote Harvard JSON MLA RIS XML ISO 690 PDF Downloads 2117

References:


[1] T. R, Charlton, “Tertiary evolution of the Eastern Indonesia Collision Complex,” Journal of Asian Earth Sciences 18, 2000, pp. 603-631.
[2] R. Hall and M. E. J., Wilson, “Neogene sutures in eastern Indonesia,” Journal of Asian Earth Sciences, vol. 18, 2000, pp. 781-808.
[3] H. J. Wattimanela, U. S. Pasaribu, N. T. Puspito, and S. W. Indratno, Earthquake classification in Molluca Collision Zone using conventional statistical methods, International Journal of Environmental, Ecological, Geological and Mining Engineering vol. 8, no. 12, 2014, pp. 704-708.
[4] H. J. Wattimanela, U. S. Pasaribu, N. T. Puspito, and S. W. Indratno, “Earthquakes clustering based on the magnitude and the depths in Molluca Province,” International Conference Actuarial Science and Statistics, FMIPA, Institute of Technology Bandung, 2014
[5] D. Stoyan, and A. Penttinen, “Recent applications of point process methods in forestry statistics,” Statistical Science 15, 2000, pp. 61-78.
[6] C. Comas, “Modelling forest regeneration strategies through the development of a spatio-temporal growth interaction model,” Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 23, 2009, pp. 1089-1102.
[7] P. Grabarnik, and A. Sarkka, “Modelling the spatial structure of forest stands by multivariate point processes with hierarchical interactions,” Ecological Modelling 220, 2009, pp. 1232-1240.
[8] R. Zuo, F. P. Agterberg, Q. Cheng, and L. Yao, “Fractal characterization of the spatial distribution of geological point processes,” International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, vol. 11, 2009, pp. 394-402.
[9] D. Daley and D. Vere-Jones, An Introduction to the Theory of Point Processes: Volume I: Elementary Theory and Methods, second edition, New York: Springer, 2003, pp. 123-126
[10] F.P. Schoenberg, “Multidimensional residual analysis of point process models for earthquake occurrence,” 2004, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. in press.
[11] F.P. Schoenberg, and K.E. Tranbarger, “Description of earthquake aftershock sequences using prototype point patterns,” Environmetrics 19, 2008, pp. 271-286.
[12] C.C. von der Borch, “Continent-island arc collision in the Banda arc,” Tectonophysics, vol. 54, 1978, pp. 169-193.
[13] C. O. Bowin, G. M. Purdy, C. Johnston, G. G. Shor, L. Lawver, H.M.S. Hartono, and P. Jezek, “Arc continent collision in the Banda Sea Region,” American Association of Petroleum Geologists Bulletin, vol.64, 1980, pp. 868-915
[14] J. Milsom, “The Vrancea seismic zone and its analogue in the Banda Arc, eastern Indonesia,” Tectonophysics, vol. 410, 2005, pp. 325-336
[15] E. A. Okal, and D. Reymond, “The mechanism of great Banda Sea earthquake of 1 February 1938: applying the method of preliminary determination of focal mechanism to a historical event,” earth and planetary science letters, vol. 216, 2003, pp. 1-15.
[16] R. K. Cardwell, and B. L. Isacks, “Geometry of the subducted lithosphere beneath the Banda Sea in Eastern Indonesia from seismicity and fault plane solution,” Journal of Geophysical research, vol. 83. B6, 1978, pp. 2825-2838.
[17] M. Sandiford, “Seismic moment release during slap rupture beneath the Banda Sea,” Geophysical Journal International 174, 2008, pp. 659-671
[18] K. S. Ely, M. Sandiford, M. L. Hawke, D. Phillips, M. Quigley, and J. E. dos Reis, “Evolution of Ataúro Island: Temporal constraints on subduction processes beneath the Wetar zone, Banda Arc,” Journal of Asian Earth Sciences, vol. 41, 2011, pp. 477-493.
[19] W. Spakman and R. Hall, “Surface deformation and slab-mantle interaction during Banda arc subduction rollback,” Nature Geoscience 3, 2010, pp. 562-566.
[20] A. Spicak, R. Matejkova, and J. Vanek, “Seismic response to recent tectonic processes in the Banda Arc region,” Journal of Asian Earth Sciences 64, 2013, pp. 1-13.
[21] H. M. Taylor, and S. Karlin, An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling, 1998, third edition, Academic Press, pp. 312-313
[22] R. E. Walpole., K. Ye, R. H. Myers, and S. I., Myers, Probabilility & Statistics for Engineers and Scientists, 2011, ninth edition, Prentice Hall, pp. 366-368