Commenced in January 2007
Frequency: Monthly
Edition: International
Paper Count: 32759
Decision Support System for a Pilot Flash Flood Early Warning System in Central Chile

Authors: D. Pinto, L. Castro, M.L. Cruzat, S. Barros, J. Gironás, C. Oberli, M. Torres, C. Escauriaza, A. Cipriano

Abstract:

Flash Floods, together with landslides, are a common natural threat for people living in mountainous regions and foothills. One way to deal with this constant menace is the use of Early Warning Systems, which have become a very important mitigation strategy for natural disasters. In this work we present our proposal for a pilot Flash Flood Early Warning System for Santiago, Chile, the first stage of a more ambitious project that in a future stage shall also include early warning of landslides. To give a context for our approach, we first analyze three existing Flash Flood Early Warning Systems, focusing on their general architectures. We then present our proposed system, with main focus on the decision support system, a system that integrates empirical models and fuzzy expert systems to achieve reliable risk estimations.

Keywords: Decision Support System, Early Warning Systems, Flash Flood, Natural Hazard.

Digital Object Identifier (DOI): doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1100458

Procedia APA BibTeX Chicago EndNote Harvard JSON MLA RIS XML ISO 690 PDF Downloads 2430

References:


[1] B. Wisner, P. Blaikie, T. Cannon, and I. Davis, Risk: natural hazards, people's vulnerability and disasters. London: Routledge, 2004.
[2] S.L. Cutter, and C. Emrich, “Are natural hazards and disaster losses in the US increasing?,” Eos, Trans. American Geophysical Union, vol. 86, no. 41, pp. 381-389, 2005.
[3] W. Hanka, J. Saul, B. Weber, J. Becker, and P. Harjadi, “Real-time earthquake monitoring for tsunami warning in the Indian Ocean and beyond,” Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., vol. 10, pp. 2611-2622, 2010.
[4] World Meteorological Organization, “Natural Hazard,” online article http://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/hazards/index_en.html Accessed July 2014.
[5] C.D. Hill, F. Verjee, and C. Barrett, Flash Flood Early Warning System Reference Guide. USA: University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, 2010.
[6] World Meteorological Organization “Flash Flood Guidance System (FFGS),” Paper for the CBS Management Group, World Meteorological Organization, Commission for Basic Systems Management Group, seventh session, Geneva, Switzerland, June 2007.
[7] E. Aristizábal, M.F. Gamboa, and F.J. Leoz, “Early Warning System for rainfall-induced landslides in the Aburrá valley, Colombia,” Revista EIA, no 13, pp. 155-169, July 2010.
[8] O. Krol, and T. Bernard “ELDEWAS - Online early warning system for landslide detection by means of dynamic weather nowcasts and knowledge based assessment,” in International Environmental Modelling and Software Society (iEMSs) 2012 International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software Managing Resources of a Limited Planet: Pathways and Visions under Uncertainty, Sixth Biennial Meeting, Leipzig, Germany, pp. 212-219.
[9] D. Pinto, and A. Cipriano “Tsunami Early Warning System architecture based on automation technologies,” in ICT-DM 2014: The First IEEE International Conference on Information and Communication Technologies for Disaster Management, Algiers, March 2014. To be published.
[10] F.N. Correia, F.C. Rego, M.D.G. Saraiva, and I. Ramos, “Coupling GIS with hydrologic and hydraulic flood modelling,” Water Resour. Manage., vol. 12, no. 3, pp. 229-249, 1998.
[11] Y. Lian, I. Chan, J. Singh, M. Demissie, V. Knapp, and H. Xie, “Coupling of hydrologic and hydraulic models for the Illinois River Basin,” J. Hydrol., vol. 344, no. 3, pp. 210-222, 2007.
[12] M. Staudinger, “METEOALARM-EF, Final Report.” March, 2011. Available at http://ec.europa.eu/echo/civil_protection/civil/prote/pdfdocs/meteoalarm _final_report_en.pdf
[13] J. Behrens, A. Androsov, A.Y. Babeyko, S. Harig, F. Klaschka, and L. Mentrup “A new multi-sensor approach to simulation assisted tsunami early warning,” Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. vol. 10, no. 6, pp. 1085- 1100, 2010.
[14] K.P. Georgakakos, “Analytical results for operational flash flood guidance,” J. Hydrol., vol. 317, no. 1, pp. 81-103, 2006.
[15] T. Terano, K. Asai, M. Sugeno, and C. Aschmann, Applied fuzzy systems. San Diego, CA: Academic Press Professional, Inc., 1994.
[16] S. Martinis, A. Twele, C. Strobl, J. Kersten, and E. Stein, “A Multi- Scale Flood Monitoring System Based on Fully Automatic MODIS and TerraSAR-X Processing Chains,” Remote Sens., vol. 5, no. 11, pp. 5598- 5619, 2013.
[17] H. Karl and A. Willig, Protocols and Architectures for Wireless Sensor Networks. West Sussex: John Wiley & Sons, 2005.
[18] K. Sohraby, D. Minoli, and T. Znati, Wireless Sensor Networks: Technology, Protocols, and Applications. New Jersey: Wiley- Interscience, 2007.
[19] G. Barrenetxea, F. Ingelrest, G. Schaefer, M. Vetterli, O. Couach, and M. Parlange, “Sensorscope: Out- of-the-box environmental monitoring,” in Information Processing in Sensor Networks, 2008. IPSN ’08. International Conference on, St. Louis, MO, Apr. 2008, pp. 332–343.
[20] F. Ingelrest, G. Barrenetxea, G. Schaefer, M. Vetterli, O. Couach, and M. Parlange, “Sensorscope: Application-specific sensor network for environmental monitoring,” ACM Trans. Sen. Netw., vol. 6, no. 2, pp. 17:1–17:32, Mar. 2010.
[21] S. Simoni, S. Padoan, D. F. Nadeau, M. Diebold, A. Porporato, G. Barrenetxea, F. Ingelrest, M. Vetterli, and M. B. Parlange, “Hydrologic response of an alpine watershed: Application of a meteorological wireless sensor network to understand streamflow generation,” Water Resour. Res., vol. 47, no. 10, 2011.
[22] B. Kerkez, S. D. Glaser, R. C. Bales, and M. W. Meadows, “Design and performance of a wireless sensor network for catchment-scale snow and soil moisture measurements,” Water Resour. Res., vol. 48, no. 9, 2012.
[23] M. Berti, M.L.V. Martina, S. Franceschini, S. Pignone, A. Simoni, M. Pizziolo, “Probabilistic rainfall thresholds for landslide occurrence using a Bayesian approach,” J. Geophys. Res. Earth Surf. (2003–2012), vol. 117, no. F4, 2012.
[24] V. Montesarchio, E. Ridolfi, F. Russo, F. Napolitano,“Rainfall threshold definition using an entropy decision approach and radar data,” Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., vol. 11, no. 7, pp. 2061-2074, 2011.
[25] S.A. Sepúlveda, C. Padilla, “Rain-induced debris and mudflow triggering factors assessment in the Santiago cordilleran foothills, Central Chile,” Nat. Hazards, vol. 47, no. 2, pp. 201-215, 2008.