The Effect of Catastrophic Losses on Insurance Cycle: Case of Croatia
Authors: D. Jakovčević, M. Mihelja Žaja
Abstract:
This paper provides an analysis of the insurance cycle in the Republic of Croatia and whether they are affected by catastrophic losses on a global level. In general, it is considered that insurance cycles are particularly pronounced in periods of financial crisis, but are also affected by the growing number of catastrophic losses. They cause the change of insurance cycle and premium growth and intensification and narrowing of the coverage conditions, so these variables move in the same direction and these phenomena point to a new cycle. The main goal of this paper is to determine the existence of insurance cycle in the Republic of Croatia and investigate whether catastrophic losses have an influence on insurance cycles.
Keywords: Catastrophic loss, insurance cycle, premium, Republic of Croatia.
Digital Object Identifier (DOI): doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1093796
Procedia APA BibTeX Chicago EndNote Harvard JSON MLA RIS XML ISO 690 PDF Downloads 2106References:
[1] E. Banks, "Alternative risk transfer”, John Wily & Sons Ltd, 2004.
[2] G.E. Rejda, "Principles of Risk Management and Insurance”, Pearson Education Inc., 2005.
[3] H.W. Rubin, „Barron’s dictionary of insurance terms", 2000.
[4] B.D. Stewart, "Profit Cycles in Property-Liability Insurance”, Issues in Insurance (John D. Long and Everett D. Randall (eds)), Volume 1, Third Edition (Malvern, PA: The American Institute for Property and Liability Underwriters, 1984).
[5] J. Trufin, H. Albrecher, M. Denuit, "Impact of Underwriting Cycles on the Solvency of an Insurance Company”, North American Actuarial Journal, Vol. 13, No.3, 385-403, 2009
[6] E.C. Venezian, "Ratemaking Methods and Profit Cycles in Property and Liability Insurance”, Journal of Risk and Insurance. Volume 52, Number 3, 1985.
[7] J.D. Cummins, J.F. Outreville, "An international Analysis of Underwriting Cycles in Property-Liability Insurance”, The Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol.54, No.2, str. 246-262, 1987.
[8] N. Doherty, H. B. Kang, "Interest Rates and Insurance Cycles”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 12, str. 199-214., 1988.
[9] M.F. Grace, J.L. Hotchkiss, "External Impacts on Property-Liability Insurance Cycle”, Journal of Risk and Insurance, vol. 62, str. 738-754, 1995.
[10] J. Lamm-Tennant, M.A. Weiss, "International Insurance Cycles: Rational Expectations/Institutional Intervention”, Journal of Risk and Insurance, vol. 64, str. 415-439, 1997.
[11] M.E. Smith, F.S. Gahin, "The underwriting cycle in property and liability insurance”, paper presented at the 1983 Risk Theory Seminar, Helsinki., 1983.
[12] C.-C. Leng, U.B. Meier, "Analysis of Multi-National Underwriting Cycles in Property-Liability Insurance”, Journal of Risk Finance, Vol. 7 Iss: 2, str.146 - 159, 2006.
[13] U.B. Meier, J.F. Outreville, "Business cycles in insurance and reinsurance: the case of France, Germany and Switzerland”, The Journal of Risk Finance, Vol.7 No.2., 2006.
[14] R. Chen, A. W. Kie, C. L. Hong, "Underwriting Cycles in Asia”, Journal of Risk and Insurance, vol. 66, str. 29-47.,1999.
[15] N. A Doherty, J. Garven, "Insurance Cycles: Interest Rates and the Capacity Constraint Model”, Journal of Business, vol. 68, str. 383-404, 1995.
[16] R.A. Winter, "The Dynamics of Competitive Insurance Market”, Journal of Financial Intermediation, Vol.3, No.4, str. 379-415, 1994.
[17] A. Gron, "Capacity Constraints and Cycles in Property-Casualty Insurance Markets”, Rand Journal of Economics, vol. 25, Spring, str. 110-127, 1994.
[18] S.E. Harrington, P.M. Danzon, "Price Cutting in Liability Insurance Markets”, The Journal of Business (67/4), 1994.
[19] J. D Cummins, P.M. Danzon, "Price, Financial Quality, and Capital Flows in Insurance Markets," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 6(1), pages 3-38, January 1997.
[20] G. Lai, R.C. Witt, H.G. Fung, R.D. McMinn, P.L. Brockett, "Great (and not so Great) Expectations: An Endogeneous Economic Explication of Insurance Cycles and Liability Crises”, The Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol. 67, No. 4., 2000.
[21] J.A.B. Cagle, S.E. Harrington, "Insurance Supply with Capacity Constraints and Endogenous Insolvency Risk," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 11(3), pages 219-32, December 1995.
[22] Swiss Re, Sigma 2/2013, Zurich: Swiss Reinsurance Company, 2013.
[23] Svijet osiguranja: Japan: jeziva i najskuplja katastrofa u povijesti. Avaliable at: http://www.svijetosiguranja.eu/hr/novosti/japan-jeziva-i-najskuplja-katastrofa-u-povijesti,11849.html
[24] D. Roberts, S. Nord. „Causality tests and functional form sensitivity", Applied Economics, 17: 135-141, 1985.