Modeling the Influence of Socioeconomic and Land-Use Factors on Mode Choice: A Comparison of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, and Melbourne, Australia
Commenced in January 2007
Frequency: Monthly
Edition: International
Paper Count: 33093
Modeling the Influence of Socioeconomic and Land-Use Factors on Mode Choice: A Comparison of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, and Melbourne, Australia

Authors: M. Alqhatani, S. Bajwa, S. Setunge

Abstract:

Metropolitan areas have suffered from traffic problems, which have steadily increased in many monocentric cities. Urban expansion, population growth, and road network development have resulted in a structural shift toward urban sprawl, increasing commuters’ dependence on private modes of transport. This paper aims to model the influence of socioeconomic and land-use factors on mode choice using a multinomial and nested logit model. Land-use patterns—such as residential, commercial, retail, educational and employment related—affect the choice of mode and destination in the short and medium term. Socioeconomic factors—such as age, gender, income, household size, and house type—also affect choice, while residential location is affected in the long term. Riyadh in Saudi Arabia and Melbourne in Australia were chosen as case studies. Riyadh is a car-dependent city with limited public transport, whereas Melbourne has good public transport but an increase in car dependence. Aggregate level land-use data and disaggregate level individual, household, and journey-to-work data are used to determine the effects of land use and socioeconomic factors on mode choice. The model results determined that urban sprawl is the main factor that affects mode choice, income, and house type.

Keywords: Socioeconomic, land use, mode choice, multinomial logit and nested logit.

Digital Object Identifier (DOI): doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1089371

Procedia APA BibTeX Chicago EndNote Harvard JSON MLA RIS XML ISO 690 PDF Downloads 2445

References:


[1] P. Newman and J. Kenworthy, Cities and Automobile Dependence: An International Sourcebook. Aldershot, UK: Gower, 1999.
[2] P. Gordon and H. W. Richardson, "Are compact cities a desirable planning goal?,” Journal of the American Planning Association, vol. 63, no. 1, 1997, pp. 95–106.
[3] P. Gordon, A. Kumar, and H. Richardson, "Congestion, changing metropolitan structure, and city size in the United States,” International Regional Science Review, vol. 12, no. 1, 1989, pp. 45–56.
[4] N. Limtanakool, M. Dijst, and T. Schwanen, "The influence of socioeconomic characteristics, land use and travel time considerations on mode choice for medium- and longer-distance trips,” Journal of Transport Geography, vol. 14, 2006, pp. 327–341.
[5] P. Mees, Transport for Suburbia: Beyond the Automobile Age. London, UK: Earthscan, 2009.
[6] M. Al-Mosaid, "Changing travel behaviour to preserve quality of life: The city of Riyadh,” King Saud University, Saudi Arabia, 2005.
[7] N. Buchanan, R. Barnett, and D. J. Kingham, "The effect of urban growth on commuting patterns in Christchurch, New Zealand,” Transport Geography, vol. 14, 2006, pp. 342–354.
[8] M. Mirmoghtadaee, "The relationship between land use, socioeconomic characteristics of inhabitants and travel demand in new towns: A case study of Hashtgerd, New Town (Iran),” International Journal of Urban Sustainable Development, vol. 4, no. 1, 2012, pp. 39–62.
[9] D. A. Badoe and E. J. Miller, "Transportation–land-use interaction: Empirical findings in North America, and their implications for modeling,” Transportation Research Record Part D: Transport and Environment, vol. 5, no. 4, 2000, pp. 235–263.
[10] R. Cervero, "Jobs-housing balance and regional mobility,” Journal of the American Planning Association, vol. 62, 1989, pp. 136–150.
[11] M. Reilly and J. Landis, "The influence of built-form and land use on mode choice—Evidence from the 1996 Bay Area travel survey,” University of California Transportation Center Research Paper, Institute of Urban and Regional Development WP, 2002–4(1).
[12] M. Zhang, "The role of land use in travel mode choice: Evidence from Boston and Hong Kong,” Journal of American Planning Association, vol. 70, no. 3, 2004, pp. 344–360.
[13] G. Giuliano and D. Narayan, "A comparison of work and non-work travel: The US and Great Britain,” In Barriers to Sustainable Transport, P. Rietveld and R. Stough, Eds. London, UK: Spon Press, 2004.
[14] E. J. Miller and A. Ibrahim, "Urban forms and vehicular travel: Some empirical findings,” Transport Research Record, no. 1617, pp. 18–27, 1998.
[15] J. Li, J. L. Walker, S. Srinivasan, and W. P. Anderson, "Modeling private car ownership in china: Investigating the impact of urban form across megacities” Transportation Research Record, no. 2193, pp. 76–84, 2010.
[16] R. Cervero, America’s Suburban Centers: The Land-use–Transportation Link. Boston, MA: Unwin Hyman, 1989.
[17] K. O’Connor and E. Healy, "Rethinking suburban development in Australia: A Melbourne case study,” European Planning Studies, vol. 12, 2004, pp. 12–40.
[18] S. Garba, "Managing urban growth and development in the Riyadh metropolitan area,” Saudi Arabia Habitat International, vol. 20, 2004, pp. 593–608.
[19] K. O’Connor and E. Healy "Suburban development in Australia: A Melbourne case study,” Journal of European Planning Studies, vol. 12, 2002, pp. 27–40.
[20] D. Stead and S. Marshal, "The relationships between urban form and travel patterns: An international review and evaluation,” European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research, vol. 1, no. 2, 2001, pp. 113–141.
[21] C. Chan and C. McKnight, "Does the built environment make a difference? Additional evidence from the daily activity and travel behavior of homemakers living in New York City and suburbs,” Journal of Transport Geography, vol. 15, no. 5, 2007, pp. 380–395.
[22] U. Kunert and O. Lipps, Measuring and Explaining the Increase of Travel Distance: A Multi-level Analysis Using Repeated Cross Sectional Travel Survey. Berlin: DIW, 2005.
[23] G. Giuliano and J. Dargay, "Car ownership, travel and land use: A comparison of the US and Great Britain,” Transportation Research Part A, 40, pp. 106–124, 2005.
[24] M. Ben Akiva and S. R. Lerman, Discrete Choice Analysis: Theory and Application to Travel Demand. Cambridge, AM: MIT Press, 1985.
[25] A. Bergman, G. John, and J. Starthman, "Modeling access mode choice for inter-suburban commuter rail,” Journal of Public Transportation, vol. 14, no. 4, 2011.
[26] C. Bhat and V. Pulugurta, "Comparison of two alternative behavioural choice mechanisms for household auto ownership decisions,” Transportation Research Part B, vol. 32, no. 1, pp. 61–75, 1998.
[27] D. Potoglou and P. Kanaroglou, "Modelling car ownership in urban areas: A case study of Hamilton in Canada,” Journal of Transport Geography, vol. 16, no. 1, 2008, pp. 42–54.
[28] P. D. Prevedouros and J. L. Schofer, "Factors affecting autombile ownership and use,” Transportation Research Record, no. 1364, pp. 152–160, 1992.
[29] Y. L. Chu, "Automobile ownership analysis using ordered probit models,” Transportation Research Record, no. 1805, pp. 60–67, 2002.
[30] G. Currie and Z. Senbergs, "Exploring forced car ownership in metropolitan Melbourne,” Australian Transport Research Forum, 2007.
[31] Australian Bureau of Statistics "Census of population and employment,” Australia Bureau of Statistics, 2006.
[32] Municipality of Riyadh, "Demographic, socioeconomic and trip data,” Municipality of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, 2008.
[33] VISTA07, "Victorian integrated survey of travel and activity,” Department of Transport, Victoria, 2007.