Predicting the Life Cycle of Complex Technical Systems (CTS)
Complex systems are composed of several plain interacting independent entities. Interaction between these entities creates a unified behavior at the global level that cannot be predicted by examining the behavior of any single individual component of the system. In this paper we consider a welded frame of an automobile trailer as a real example of Complex Technical Systems, The purpose of this paper is to introduce a Statistical method for predicting the life cycle of complex technical systems. To organize gathering of primary data for modeling the life cycle of complex technical systems an “Automobile Trailer Frame" were used as a prototype in this research. The prototype represents a welded structure of several pieces. Both information flows underwent a computerized analysis and classification for the acquisition of final results to reach final recommendations for improving the trailers structure and their operational conditions.
Digital Object Identifier (DOI): doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1062236Procedia APA BibTeX Chicago EndNote Harvard JSON MLA RIS XML ISO 690 PDF Downloads 880
 M. Mitchell and M. Newman, "Complex systems theory and evolution," in Encyclopaedia of Evolution, M. Pagel, Ed. New York: Oxford University Press, 2002.
 J. L. Casti, "The simply complex," Santa Fe Institute, Tech. Rep., 2001. (5) Y. Bar-Yam, "General features of complex systems," in Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems. Oxford ,UK: UNESCO, EOLSS Publishers, 2002.
 S.A. Balan ,Calculating the unit cost to operate the equipment containing the type of welded metal frames, Truda Odessa Polytechnic University Odessa, 1998. - Vol. 2 (6). - P. 286 - 291.
 V. K. Kublik, Khalil Yaghi, Ensuring representativeness of the sample observations in a short series of the Truda Odessa Polytechnic. University Odessa, 2000. - Vol. 2 (11). - P. 115 - 124.
 S.A. Balan, "Modeling the life cycle of rehabilitated road trailers at the design stage", the thesis of candidate of Tech. Science: 05.02.02, Polytechnic University Odessa, 1999, pp. - 150.
 V. K. Kublik, Khalil Yaghi. Isolation of technical and organizational factors in the development of complex manufacturing systems . Odessa. Polytechnic University Odessa, 1999. - Vol. 3 (9)- P. 155 - 161.
 N.M. Pankratov, N.D. Borovski, Accelerated tests of mobile machines and their components, Odessa, Black Sea, 1998, pp. 198.
 Mayer Seung Man Lee, Remington, R.W., and Ravinder, U., "A framework for modeling and simulating human behavior in complex systems", IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man and Cybernetics, Volume 4, 10-12 Oct. 2005, pp. 3161-3166.
 Nicola Bellomo , Modeling Complex Living Systems: A Kinetic Theory and Stochastic Game Approach2007 , , pp.180-203.
 http://www.freshpatents.com/Vehicle-diagnostic-systemdt20080724ptan20080177438. php.
 http://www.freshpatents.com/Abnormality-analysis-system-for-vehicleand- abnormality-analysis-method-for-vehicledt20100304ptan20100057292. php
 http://www.freshpatents.com/System-and-method-for-adjustment-of-asteer- angle-of-a-wheel-of-a-motor-vehicledt20100304ptan20100057291. php
 http://www.freshpatents.com/System-and-method-for-cooperativevehicle- diagnostics-dt20100304ptan20100057290.php