Two States Mapping Based Neural Network Model for Decreasing of Prediction Residual Error
Commenced in January 2007
Frequency: Monthly
Edition: International
Paper Count: 33104
Two States Mapping Based Neural Network Model for Decreasing of Prediction Residual Error

Authors: Insung Jung, lockjo Koo, Gi-Nam Wang

Abstract:

The objective of this paper is to design a model of human vital sign prediction for decreasing prediction error by using two states mapping based time series neural network BP (back-propagation) model. Normally, lot of industries has been applying the neural network model by training them in a supervised manner with the error back-propagation algorithm for time series prediction systems. However, it still has a residual error between real value and prediction output. Therefore, we designed two states of neural network model for compensation of residual error which is possible to use in the prevention of sudden death and metabolic syndrome disease such as hypertension disease and obesity. We found that most of simulations cases were satisfied by the two states mapping based time series prediction model compared to normal BP. In particular, small sample size of times series were more accurate than the standard MLP model. We expect that this algorithm can be available to sudden death prevention and monitoring AGENT system in a ubiquitous homecare environment.

Keywords: Neural network, U-healthcare, prediction, timeseries, computer aided prediction.

Digital Object Identifier (DOI): doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1055295

Procedia APA BibTeX Chicago EndNote Harvard JSON MLA RIS XML ISO 690 PDF Downloads 1984

References:


[1] Lisboa PJ.,: "A review of evidence of health benefit from artificial neural networks in medical intervention", Neural Networks. Vol. 15, January 2002 pp. 11-39.
[2] Ali Gholipour, Babak N. Araabl, and Caro Lucas "Predicting Chaotic Time Series Using Neural and Neurofuzzy Models: A Comparative Study" Neural Processing Letters DOI 10.1007/s11063-006-9021-x, 24, 2006, pp. 217-239.
[3] Spyros Makridakis and Micheá Le Hibon "Arma Models and the Box & Jenkins Methodology" Journal of Forecasting Vol. 16, 1997, pp 147-163.
[4] Ashour, Z.: Artificial neural network models for forecasting ozone data, in Proceedings of The thirty annual conference ISSR, Cairo university, vol. 30, Part 3. 1995, .pp. 83-96.
[5] Box, G.E.P and G.M Jenkins, "Time series Analysis: Forecasting and Control, 2nd " ed., Oakland, CA: Holden-Day 1976.
[6] S. Hashem Z. H. Ashour E. F.Abdel Gawad A. Abdel Hakeem "A Novel approach for Training Neural Networks for Long-Term Prediction" IEEE Vol. 0-7803-5529-6 , 1999, pp.1594-1599.
[7] Junhong Nie "Nonlinear time-series forecasting: A fuzzy-neural approach" Neurocomputing v.16 no.1, 1997, pp. 63-76.
[8] Ali Gholipour, Babak N. Araabl, and Caro Lucas "Predicting Chaotic Time Series Using Neural and Neurofuzzy Models: A Comparative Study" Neural Processing Letters DOI 10.1007/s11063-006-9021-x, 24, 2006, pp 217-239.
[9] Eiji Watanabe "Time Series Prediction by a Modular Structured Neural Network" IEEE Vol. 0-7803-4859- 1, 1998, pp. 2501-2506 .
[10] Masumi Ishikawa, Teppei Moriyama, : "Prediction of time series by a structural learning of neural networks", Fuzzy Sets and Systems, V82 , 1996, 167-176.
[11] M. B. Priestly, Non-linear and Non-stationary Time Series Analysis, Academic Press, New York, 1989.
[12] R. A. Jacobs, M. I. Jordan, and A. G. Barto, Task Decomposition through Competition in a Modular Connectionist Architecture: the What and Where Vision Tasks, Cognitive Science 15, 1991, pp 219-250.
[13] Richard P. Lippmann,:" An introduction to computing with neural network", IEEE ASSP magazine, 1987, pp. 4-22.