Applying Case-Based Reasoning in Supporting Strategy Decisions
Authors: S. M. Seyedhosseini, A. Makui, M. Ghadami
Abstract:
Globalization and therefore increasing tight competition among companies, have resulted to increase the importance of making well-timed decision. Devising and employing effective strategies, that are flexible and adaptive to changing market, stand a greater chance of being effective in the long-term. In other side, a clear focus on managing the entire product lifecycle has emerged as critical areas for investment. Therefore, applying wellorganized tools to employ past experience in new case, helps to make proper and managerial decisions. Case based reasoning (CBR) is based on a means of solving a new problem by using or adapting solutions to old problems. In this paper, an adapted CBR model with k-nearest neighbor (K-NN) is employed to provide suggestions for better decision making which are adopted for a given product in the middle of life phase. The set of solutions are weighted by CBR in the principle of group decision making. Wrapper approach of genetic algorithm is employed to generate optimal feature subsets. The dataset of the department store, including various products which are collected among two years, have been used. K-fold approach is used to evaluate the classification accuracy rate. Empirical results are compared with classical case based reasoning algorithm which has no special process for feature selection, CBR-PCA algorithm based on filter approach feature selection, and Artificial Neural Network. The results indicate that the predictive performance of the model, compare with two CBR algorithms, in specific case is more effective.
Keywords: Case based reasoning, Genetic algorithm, Groupdecision making, Product management.
Digital Object Identifier (DOI): doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1081113
Procedia APA BibTeX Chicago EndNote Harvard JSON MLA RIS XML ISO 690 PDF Downloads 2173References:
[1] D. Kiritsis, A. Bufardi. A, P. Xirouchakis, "Research issues on product lifecycle management and information tracking using smart embedded systems," Advanced Engineering Informatics, vol.17, PP.189-202, (2003).
[2] R. Fornasiero, A.Zangiacomi, "Management of residual life cycle costs for sustainability in middle of life phase," Int. J. Product Lifecycle Management, Vol. 4, pp.114-128, 2009.
[3] S. Terzi, M. Garetti, and D. Kiritsis, "A New Point of View on Product Lifecycle Management," 2007.
[4] J. Surma, "Case Based Reasoning for Supporting Strategy Decision Making in Small and Medium Enterprises," Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg , 2010, ch4.
[5] M. Roberto, " Making Difficult Decisions in Turbulent Times," Ivey Business Journal, 2002.
[6] G. Gavetti, , D. Levinthal, J. Rivkin, , " Strategy Making in Novel and Complex Worlds: The Power of Analogy." Strategic Management Journal, 26, 2005.
[7] K. Kim, I. Han, "Maintaining case based reasoning systems using agenetic algorithms approach," Expert Systems with Applications, vol.21, pp. 139-145, 2001.
[8] J. Kolodner, "Case Based Reasoning. Morgan Kaufmann," San Francisco, 1993.
[9] P. Humphreys, R. McIvor, F. Chan, "Using case-based reasoning to evaluate supplier environmental management performance," Expert Systems with Applications , vol.25, pp.141-153, 2003.
[10] I. Watson, "Applying Case-based Reasoning: Techniques for Enterprise Systems," Morgan Kaufmann Publishers, San Francisco, CA, 1997.
[11] D. W. Aha, " The omnipresence of case-based reasoning in science and application," Knowledge-Based Systems, vol.11, pp.261-273, 1998.
[12] Aamodt, K. D Althoff, R. Magaldi, and R. Milne, "Case-Based Reasoning: A New Force In Advanced Systems Development," Unicom Seminars & AI Intelligence,1995.
[13] R.D. Deters, "CBR for maintenance of telecommunication networks," Proceedings Second European Workshop on Case-Based Reasoning, pp.23-32, 1994.
[14] A. Varma, N. Roddy, " ICARUS: a case-based system for locomotive diagnostics," Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, vol.12(6), pp.681-690, 1999.
[15] F. Alexandrini, D. Krechel, K. Maximini, AV. Wangenheim, " Integrating CBR into the Health Care Organization," 16th IEEE Symposium on Computer- Based Medical Systems, 2003.
[16] W. Cheetham, "Global Grade Selector: A Recommender System for Supporting the Sale of Plastic Resin," Berlin: Springer, pp.96-106, 2003.
[17] T.L. Acorn, S. H. Walden, "support management cultivated reasoning technology for Compaq customer service," Innovative Applications of Artificial Intelligence, vol. 4, Cambridge, 1992.
[18] M. BAIG, "Case Based Reasoning-An Effective Paradigm for Providing Diagnostic Support Stroke Patients," Queen-s University, Kingston, Canada, 2008.
[19] H. Li, H. Huang, J. Sun, Ch. Lin, "On sensitivity of case-based reasoning to optimal feature subsets in business failure prediction," Expert Systems with Applications, 2010.
[20] A. Aamodt, E. Plaza, "Case-Based Reasoning; Foundational Issues, Methodological Variations, and System Approaches," AI Communications. IOS Press, Vol. 7:1, pp. 39 -59, 1994.
[21] H. Li, J. Sun, "Predicting business failure using multiple case-based reasoning combined with support vector machine," Expert Systems with Applications, vol. 36, pp. 10085-1009, 2009.
[22] H. Ahn, K. Kim, "Bankruptcy prediction modeling with hybrid casebased reasoning and genetic algorithms approach," Applied Soft Computing, vol.9, pp. 599-607, 2009.
[23] S. W. Changchien, M. C. Lin, "Design and implementation of casebased reasoning system for marketing plans," Expert Systems with Applications, vol. 28, pp. 43-53, 2005.
[24] B. U. Haque, R. A. Belecheanu, R. J. Barson, , and K. S. Pawar, "Toward the application of case based reasoning to decision-making in concurrent product development ," Knowledge- Based Systems, vol. 13, pp. 101-112.
[25] Sh. W. Lin, K. Ch. Ying , Sh. Ch. Chen , Z. J. Lee, "Particle swarm optimization for parameter determination and feature selection of support vector machines," Expert Systems with Applications , vol. 35, pp. 1817-1824, 2008.
[26] H. Liu, H. Motoda, " Feature Selection for knowledge discovery and data mining," Boston: Kluwer Academic, 1998.
[27] R. Kohavi, G. H. John, "Wrappers for feature subset selection," Artificial Intelligence, vol. 97, pp. 273-324, 1997.
[28] P. N. Tan, V. Kumar, "Introduction to Data Mining," Michigan State University, ch. 5, 2006.
[29] Ch. L. Huang, M. C. Chen, C. J. Wang ,"Credit scoring with a data mining approach based on support vector machines," Expert Systems with Applications, 2006