Analysis of the Impact of Rainfall Change on the Seasonal Monsoon over the Jaipur District
Commenced in January 2007
Frequency: Monthly
Edition: International
Paper Count: 33093
Analysis of the Impact of Rainfall Change on the Seasonal Monsoon over the Jaipur District

Authors: Randhir Singh Baghel

Abstract:

In this work, long-term spatiotemporal changes in rainfall are investigated and assessed at the meteorological divisional level using whole-year data from Rajasthan, India. Data from each of the district's eight tehsils are studied to see how the rainfall pattern has altered over the last 10 years.  We primarily compare information from the Jaipur district in Rajasthan, India, at the tehsil level. We looked at the full year, and from January to December, there was constantly more rain than any other month.  Furthermore, we compare the research of annual and monthly rainfall. Havey rainfall is also shown for two months, July and August.

Keywords: Climate change, temperature, seasonal monsoons, rainfall variability.

Procedia APA BibTeX Chicago EndNote Harvard JSON MLA RIS XML ISO 690 PDF Downloads 164

References:


[1] Kripalani, R.H., Kulkarni, A., 1997. Rainfall variability over South-east Asia connections with Indian monsoon and ENSO extremes: new perspectives. International Journal of Climatology 17, 1155e1168.
[2] May, W., 2004. Variability and extremes of daily rainfall during the Indian summer monsoon in the period 1901e1989. Global and Planetary Change 44, 83e105.
[3] Mishra, D.C., Kumar, M.R., 2014. Proterozoic orogenic belts and rifting of Indian cratons: geophysical constraints. Geoscience Frontiers 5, 25e41.
[4] Porter, S.C., 2001. Chinese loess records of monsoon climate during the last glacial-interglacial cycle. Earth-Science Reviews 54, 115e128
[5] Purdue University, 2009. Weakened monsoon season predicted for South Asia, due to rising temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters 39.
[6] Ranatunge, E., Malmgren, B.A., Hayashi, Y., Mikami, T., Morishima, W., Yokozawa, M., Nishimori, M., 2003. Changes in the southwest monsoon mean daily rainfall intensity in Sri Lanka: relationship to the El Niñoesouthern oscillation. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 197, 1e14.
[7] Serreze, M.C., Barry, R.G., 2010. Climate change. In: Barry, R.G., Chorley, R.J. (Eds.), Atmosphere, Weather and Climate. Routledge, Oxon. SOEST -University of Hawaii, 2013. Prediction of Asian Summer Monsoon Rainfall and Tropical Storm Activity Close at Hand. Retrieved February 6, 2013
[8] Wang, L., Li, J., Lu, H., Gu, Z., Rioual, P., Hao, Q., Mackay, A.W., Jiang, W., Cai, B., Xu, B., Chu, G., 2012. The East Asian winter monsoon over the last 15,000 years: its links to high-latitudes and tropical climate systems and complex correlation to the summer monsoon. Quaternary Science Reviews 32, 131e142.
[9] Wang, B., Xiang, B., Lee, J.Y., 2013. Subtropical high predictability establishes a promising way for monsoon and tropical storm predictions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science of the United States of America 110, 2718e2722.
[10] WMO, (World Meteorological Organization), 2013. Climate Data and Data Related Products. Retrieved March 2nd, 2013 from: http://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/climate_Data_and_products.php.
[11] Wolfson, R., 2012. Energy, Environment and Climate, second ed. WW Norton and Company Inc, New York, pp. 366e370.
[12] World Bank, 2011. The World Bank Supports Thailand’s Post-floods Recovery Effort, 13 December 2011. Retrieved July 17 from: http://www.worldbank.org/en/news/feature/2011/12/13/world-bank-supports-thailands-post-floods-recovery-effort.
[13] Zhou, T., Yu, R., Zhang, J., Drange, H., Cassou, C., Deser, C., Hodson, D.L.R., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Li, J., Keenlyside, X., Okumura, Y., 2009. Why the western pacific subtropical high has extended westward since the late 1970s. Journal of Climate 22, 2199e2215.
[14] F. R. Moise, A. Colman, and J. Brown, “Behind uncertainties in projections of Australian tropical climate: analysis of 19 CMIP3 models,” Journal of Geophysical Research, 2012 vol. 117.
[15] S. Meshram, S. Singh, C. Meshram, R. Deo, and B. Ambade, “Statistical evaluation of rainfall time series in concurrence with agriculture and water resources of Ken River basin, Central India (1901–2010),” Theoretical and Applied Climatology, vol. 134, no. 3, 2018 pp. 1231–1243.
[16] S. Jain and V. Kumar, “Trend analysis of rainfall and temperature data for India,” Current Science, vol. 102, 2012 pp. 37–49.
[17] V. Deoli and S. Rana, “Seasonal trend analysis in rainfall and temperature for Udaipur district of Rajasthan,” Current World Environment, vol. 14, no. 2, 2019 pp. 312–319.
[18] V. Kumar, Jain, S. K. & Singh, Y. “Analysis of long-term rainfall trends in India.” Hydrological Sciences Journal–Journal des Sciences Heterologous 55(4), 2010, 484–496
[19] Talaee, P. H. “Iranian rainfall series analysis by means of nonparametric tests.” Theoretical and applied climatology 116(3–4), 2014, 597–607.
[20] A. Mondal, Khare, D. & Kundu, S., Spatial and temporal analysis of rainfall and temperature trend of India. Theoretical and applied climatology 122(1–2), 2015, 143–158.
[21] H. Sanikhani, Kisi, O., Mirabbasi, R. & Meshram, S. G., Trend analysis of rainfall pattern over Central India during 1901–2010. Arabian Journal of Geosciences 11(15), 2018, 437.
[22] J Dhar, RS Baghel, AK Sharma, Role of instant nutrient replenishment on plankton dynamics with diffusion in a closed system: a pattern formation, Applied Mathematics and Computation, 218, 17, 2012, pp 8925-8936
[23] J Dhar, RS Baghel, Role of dissolved oxygen on the plankton dynamics in the spatiotemporal domain, Modeling Earth Systems and Environment 2 (1), 2016, pp 1-6
[24] RS Baghel, J Dhar, R Jain, Bifurcation and spatial pattern formation in spreading of disease with incubation period in a phytoplankton dynamics, Electronic Journal of Differential Equations 2012 (21), 2012, pp1-12
[25] RS Baghel, J Dhar, Pattern formation in three species food web model in spatiotemporal domain with Beddington–DeAngelis functional response, Nonlinear Analysis: Modelling and Control 19 (2), 2014, pp 155-171
[26] RS Baghel, J Dhar, R Jain, Chaos and spatial pattern formation in phytoplankton dynamics, Elixir Applied Mathematics 45, 2012, pp 8023-8026
[27] RS Baghel, J Dhar, R Jain, Analysis of a spatiotemporal phytoplankton dynamics: Higher order stability and pattern formation, World Academy of Science, Engineering, and Technology 60, 2011, pp1406-1412
[28] RS Baghel, J Dhar, R Jain, Higher order stability analysis of a spatial phytoplankton dynamics: bifurcation, chaos and pattern formation, Int J Math Model Simul Appl 5, 2012, pp113-127
[29] RS Baghel, Dynamical Behaviour Changes in Response to Various Functional Responses: Temporal and Spatial Plankton System, Iranian Journal of Science, 47, 2023, pp1-11
[30] J. Dhar, M. Chaudhary, R.S. Baghel and A.C. Pandey, 2015 “Mathematical Modelling and Estimation of Seasonal Variation of Mosquito Population: A Real Case Study,” Bol. Soc. Paran. Mat., vol. 33 2 (2015): 165–176.
[31] O.P. Misra, R. S. Baghel, M. Chaudhary and J. Dhar, 2015 “Spatiotemporal based predator-prey harvesting model for fishery with Beddington-Deangelis type functional response and tax as the control entity,” Dynamics of Continuous, Discrete and Impulsive Systems Series A., vol. 26 2 (2019): 113--135.
[32] S. Pareek, RS Baghel, Modelling and Analysis of Prey-Predator Interaction on Spatio-temporal Dynamics: A Systematic, 4th International Conference On Emerging Trends in Multi-Disciplinary Research “ETMDR-2023”,77
[33] Kaushik P, Baghel RS, Khandelwal S, (2023) The Impact of Seasonality on Rainfall Patterns: A Case Study, International Journal of Mathematical and Computational Sciences Vol 17 (10), pp 138-143
[34] Baghel RS, Sharma GS, (2023) An Ecological Model for Three Species with Crowley–Martin Functional Response, International Journal of Mathematical and Computational Sciences Vol 17 (10), pp 138-143
[35] Sharma, G., Baghel, R. (2023), 'Artificial Neural Network Approach for Inventory Management Problem', International Journal of Mathematical and Computational Sciences, 17(11), 160 - 164.
[36] Agarwal, K., Baghel, R.S., Parmar, A., Dadheech, A. (2024) Jeffery Slip Fluid Flow with the Magnetic Dipole Effect Over a Melting or Permeable Linearly Stretching Sheet. International Journal of Applied and Computational Mathematics10 (1), 1-17.
[37] Krishnamurthy, V. and Shukla, J., 2008, “Seasonal persistence and propagation of intra-seasonal patterns over the Indian summer monsoon region”, Climate Dynamics, 30, 353-369.
[38] Sumner, G., Homar, V. and Ramis, C. (2001) Rainfall seasonality in eastern and southern coastal Spain. International Journal of Climatology, 21(2), 219–247.
[39] Turner, A.G. and Annamalai, H. (2012) Climate change and the south Asian summer monsoon. Nature Climate Change, 2(8), 587–595.
[40] Walsh, R.P.D. and Lawler, D.M. (1981) Rainfall seasonality: Description, spatial patterns and change through time. Weather, 36(7), 201–208.
[41] Kaushik P, Baghel RS, Khandelwal S, (2023) An investigation of the Variation in Seasonal Rainfall Patterns Over the Years, arXiv preprint arXiv:2311.06247
[42] Patil, M.K. (2015) Change in seasonality index of rainfall in Sangli district. Indian Streams Research Journal, 5(1), 1–7.
[43] Baghel, R., Sahu, G. "Rainfall Seasonality Changes over India Based on Changes in the Climate". International Journal of Geological and Environmental Engineering, (2024), 18(1), 14 - 20.
[44] Rajeevan, M., Bhate, J. and Jaswal, A. K., 2008, “Correction to analysis of variability and trends of extreme rainfall events over India using 104 years of gridded daily rainfall data”, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L23701, doi:10.1029/ GL036105.
[45] Pareek, S., Baghel, R.S. A Complex Dynamical Study of Spatiotemporal Plankton-Fish Interaction with Effects of Harvesting. Iran J Sci (2023).
[46] Roy, S.S. (2006) The impacts of ENSO, PDO, and local SSTs on winter rainfall in India. Physical Geography, 27(5), 464–474.