Causality between the Construction Industry and the GDP in the United Arab Emirates
Authors: Hasan S. Mahmoud, Salwa M. Beheiry, Vian Ahmed
Abstract:
In light of the repercussions of the 2008 global economic crisis, the response of the United Arab Emirates economy and growth, and the vast construction activities that are undergoing, there is a need to investigate the relationship between construction activities and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). This study aims to investigate the causality relationship between the construction industry in the United Arab Emirates and the GDP of the country in the last decade. For that, this study will investigate the relationship between the growth of the GDP and the growth of construction activities and their value addition to the economy. To ascertain this relationship, Granger Causality method is used to identify the causality between the time-dependent series.
Keywords: Construction value addition, Granger causality, Growth of GDP, UAE.
Procedia APA BibTeX Chicago EndNote Harvard JSON MLA RIS XML ISO 690 PDF Downloads 1290References:
[1] Chiang, Y. H., Tao, L. and Wong, F. K. W. (2015) “Causal Relationship between Construction Activities, Employment and GDP: The Case of Hong Kong,” Habitat International, 46, pp. 1–12. doi: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2014.10.016.
[2] Hakkı Kutay Bolkol (2015) “Causal Relationship between Construction Production and Gdp in Turkey,” International Journal of Research In Business and Social Science, 4(3), pp. 42–53. Available at: INSERT-MISSING-URL (Accessed: December 13, 2019).
[3] Hosein, R. and Michael Lewis, T. (2005). Quantifying the relationship between aggregate GDP and construction value added in a small petroleum rich economy – a case study of Trinidad and Tobago. Construction Management and Economics, 23(2), pp.185-197.
[4] Anaman, K. and Osei‐Amponsah, C. (2007). Analysis of the causality links between the growth of the construction industry and the growth of the macro‐economy in Ghana. Construction Management and Economics, 25(9), pp.951-961.
[5] Opes, J., Nunes, A. and Balsa, C. (2011). The Long-Run Relationship Between the Construction Industry and The National Economy in Cape Verde. International Journal of Strategic Property Management, 15(1), pp.48-59.
[6] Zivot, E. and Wang, J., 2006. Modelling Financial Time Series with S-PLUS, Second Edition, New York: Springer.
[7] Ivanov, V. and Kilian, L., 2005. “A Practitioner’s Guide to Lag Order Selection for VAR Impulse Response Analysis,” Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, Vol. 9, Issue 1, Article 2.
[8] Data.worldbank.org. (2020). United Arab Emirates | World Bank Data. (online) Available at: https://data.worldbank.org/country/united-arab-emirates?view=chart (Accessed 3 Feb. 2020).