Maintenance Alternatives Related to Costs of Wind Turbines Using Finite State Markov Model
Commenced in January 2007
Frequency: Monthly
Edition: International
Paper Count: 33093
Maintenance Alternatives Related to Costs of Wind Turbines Using Finite State Markov Model

Authors: Boukelkoul Lahcen

Abstract:

The cumulative costs for O&M may represent as much as 65%-90% of the turbine's investment cost. Nowadays the cost effectiveness concept becomes a decision-making and technology evaluation metric. The cost of energy metric accounts for the effect replacement cost and unscheduled maintenance cost parameters. One key of the proposed approach is the idea of maintaining the WTs which can be captured via use of a finite state Markov chain. Such a model can be embedded within a probabilistic operation and maintenance simulation reflecting the action to be done. In this paper, an approach of estimating the cost of O&M is presented. The finite state Markov model is used for decision problems with number of determined periods (life cycle) to predict the cost according to various options of maintenance.

Keywords: Cost, finite state, Markov model, operation, maintenance.

Digital Object Identifier (DOI): doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1338806

Procedia APA BibTeX Chicago EndNote Harvard JSON MLA RIS XML ISO 690 PDF Downloads 1480

References:


[1] Forecasting of Maintenance and Repair Costs of Wind Energy Plants: www.powergenu.com.
[2] B. Kerres, K. Fischer, R. Madlener: Economic Evaluation of Maintenance Strategies for Wind turbines: A Stochastic Analysis IET Renewable Energy. 2014/
[3] C. A. Walford: Wind Turbine Reliability: Understanding and Minimizing Wind Turbine Operation and Maintenance Cost SAND2006-1100.
[4] I. EL-Thalji, I. Alsyouf, G. Ronsten: ‘‘A Model for Assessing Operation and Maintenance Cost adapted to wind farms in Cold Climate Environment Based on Onshore and Offshore Case Studies’’ European Offshore Wind Conference Proceeding 14-16 sep. 2009 Stockholm Sweden.
[5] E. Byon, L. Ntaimo, Y. Ding: ‘‘Optimal Maintenance Strategies for Wind Turbine Systems under Stochastic Weather Conditions’’, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.
[6] G. M. J. Herbert, S. Iniyan, R. Goic: ‘‘Performance, Reliability and Failure Analysis of Wind Farm in a Developing Country, Renewable Energy’’ 35 (2010) 2739-2751.
[7] Thomas M. Welte, Jørn Vatn, Jørn Heggset, ‘‘Markov State Model for Optimization of Maintenance and Renewal of Hydro Power Components’’ 9th International Conference on Probalistic Methods Applied to Power Systems KTH, Stockholm, Sweden – 11-15 June, 2006.
[8] R. Minovski, Jovanoski D, ‘‘Application of Finite Stage Markov Decision Process in Policy of Determination for Employees Motivation’’, 8 International Conference Advanced Manufacturing operations.