Taiyo Matsumura and Kuninori Takahashi and Takashi Ono
Estimation of Train Operation Using an Exponential Smoothing Method
587 - 592
2018
12
6
International Journal of Architectural and Environmental Engineering
https://publications.waset.org/pdf/10009061
https://publications.waset.org/vol/138
World Academy of Science, Engineering and Technology
The purpose of this research is to improve the convenience of waiting for trains at level crossings and stations and to prevent accidents resulting from forcible entry into level crossings, by providing level crossing users and passengers with information that tells them when the next train will pass through or arrive. For this paper, we proposed methods for estimating operation by means of an average value method, variable response smoothing method, and exponential smoothing method, on the basis of open data, which has low accuracy, but for which performance schedules are distributed in real time. We then examined the accuracy of the estimations. The results showed that the application of an exponential smoothing method is valid.
Open Science Index 138, 2018