{"title":"Forecasting the Influences of Information and Communication Technology on the Structural Changes of Japanese Industrial Sectors: A Study Using Statistical Analysis","authors":"Ubaidillah Zuhdi, Shunsuke Mori, Kazuhisa Kamegai","volume":98,"journal":"International Journal of Information and Communication Engineering","pagesStart":531,"pagesEnd":538,"ISSN":"1307-6892","URL":"https:\/\/publications.waset.org\/pdf\/10000564","abstract":"
The purpose of this study is to forecast the influences
\r\nof information and communication technology (ICT) on the structural
\r\nchanges of Japanese economies. In this study, input-output (IO) and
\r\nstatistical approaches are used as analysis instruments. More
\r\nspecifically, this study employs Leontief IO coefficients and
\r\nconstrained multivariate regression (CMR) model in order to achieve
\r\nthe purpose. The periods of initial and forecast in this study are 2005
\r\nand 2015, respectively. In this study, ICT is represented by ICT capital
\r\nstocks. This study conducts two levels of analysis, namely macro and
\r\nmicro. The results of macro level analysis show that the dynamics of
\r\nJapanese economies on the forecast period, relative to the initial period,
\r\nare not so high. We focus on (1) commerce, (2) business services and
\r\noffice supplies, and (3) personal services sectors when conducting the
\r\nanalysis of the micro level. Further, we analyze its specific IO
\r\ncoefficients when doing this analysis. The results of the analysis
\r\nexplain that ICT gives a strong influence on the changes of these
\r\ncoefficients from initial to forecast periods.<\/p>\r\n","references":"[1] U. Zuhdi, S. Mori, and K. Kamegai, \u201cStatistical analysis of influences of\r\nICT on industrial structure changes from 1985 through 2005: The case of\r\nJapan,\u201d Journal of Computers, vol. 9, no. 6, pp. 1291\u20131299, June. 2014.\r\n[2] U. Zuhdi, S. Mori, and K. Kamegai, \u201cAnalysis of influences of GDP and\r\nICT on Indonesian industrial structural changes using statistical analysis:\r\n1990-2005,\u201d Journal of Finance and Accountancy, vol. 17, pp. 1\u201319,\r\nOctober. 2014.\r\n[3] W. P. Mtega and A. C. Msungu, \u201cUsing information and communication\r\ntechnologies for enhancing the accessibility of agricultural information\r\nfor improved agricultural production in Tanzania,\u201d The Electronic\r\nJournal of Information Systems in Developing Countries, vol. 56, no. 1,\r\npp. 1\u201314, 2013.\r\n[4] Japanese Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications, \u201c2009 white\r\npaper of information and communication: Reference,\u201d Available at\r\nhttp:\/\/www.soumu.go.jp\/johotsusintokei\/whitepaper\/ja\/h21\/data\/html\/l6c\r\n00000.html, (accessed 11 February 2015).\r\n[5] R. E. Miller and P. D. Blair, Input-Output Analysis: Foundations and\r\nExtensions. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2009, pp. 10\u201321.\r\n[6] U. Zuhdi, S. Mori, and K. Kamegai, \u201cAnalysis of influences of ICT on\r\nstructural changes in Japanese commerce, business services and office\r\nsupplies, and personal services sectors using multivariate analysis:\r\n1985-2005\u201d The Asian Journal of Technology Management, vol. 6, no. 2,\r\npp. 102\u2013111, 2013.","publisher":"World Academy of Science, Engineering and Technology","index":"Open Science Index 98, 2015"}